Market Commentary

Newsletter – Quarter 3, 2020

Unlike most amusement parks during the Covid-19 pandemic, Mr. Market’s Wild Ride has remained open for business.  Following the fastest fall in history from a record high to a bear market over the course of February and March, the S&P 500 staged its quickest-ever rebound from a bear market to a new record high, which was reached in August.  The entire whirlwind round trip took place in just 126 trading days.  To put that into perspective, a typical peak-to-peak recovery takes an average of more than 1,500 trading sessions, equivalent to about six years.  The market’s rally is even more striking when set against the backdrop of an economy that is attempting to claw its way back from one of the sharpest recessions in U.S. history stemming from a pandemic that has yet to be contained.

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Newsletter – Quarter 2, 2020

In the world of investing, we are often told to be cautious when we hear market participants use the phrase “this time is different.”  The phrase is often used to justify some excess in the market.  For example, during the Dot-Com bubble of the late 1990s, the phrase was used by investors to justify paying sky-high prices and valuations for money-losing businesses.  Eventually, economic reality returned and left many of these investors holding the bag.  

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Market Update

Over the past two months, the coronavirus brought with it many economic “firsts” for investors.  For example, for the first time:

  • Significant components of the economy were forced to shut down;
  • The US government began purchasing corporate investment grade debt and a subset of high yield debt;
  • Weekly jobless claims were in the multi-millions for four consecutive weeks; and
  • The price for a barrel of oil went negative as storage has become increasingly scarce.
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Newsletter – Quarter 1, 2020

And they said March Madness was canceled.  While the college basketball postseason was indeed shut down, the coronavirus-induced chaos that has upended our lives, our economy, and our financial markets has, unfortunately, continued.  We’ll do our best to make some sense of the latter two in this limited space.

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Newsletter – Quarter 4, 2019

The stock market’s strong performance in 2019 capped a great decade for investors.  The S&P 500 had only one down year, in 2018, and it had double-digit years seven times, including three years when the returns exceeded 20%.  The returns are even more remarkable when you think back to what was happening ten years ago.  The old Wall Street adage proved accurate: It paid to be greedy when others were fearful. 

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An article by CNBC with quotes from Aram Schotts, CFP, and Rob Souza, CFA

Why advisors encourage these older investors to buy more stocks

PUBLISHED MON, DEC 2 20199:15 AM EST UPDATED TUE, DEC 3 201910:49 AM EST Darla Mercado

KEY POINTS

  • Low rates on fixed income investments, longer lifespans and the desire to leave a legacy might be some of the reasons why older investors could increase stock exposure.
  • An investor with a stream of guaranteed income — such as a pension or an annuity — could be better positioned to take equity risk and improve returns.
  • Stocks are a smart choice for money earmarked for the future, but they shouldn’t make up the entire portfolio. Always keep cash for emergencies.
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